Kalshi's target does not sway within a window. It resets at each rollover. These are the recent published targets and final YES/NO results when settled. Missing results are marked pending.

Waiting for paper signals. A pick is logged only after the sustained confirmation gate passes. Results are checked when the page is open. Does not represent actual fills.

Single-pick model: each coin gets at most one optional paper prediction: EVALUATING, PAPER PICK YES, PAPER PICK NO, or SKIP WINDOW. A pick may be issued at any point after the first minute, but no later than 1:45 before expiration. It needs three independent readings spanning at least 55 seconds, so a new candidate must appear earlier than that cutoff. A prediction never changes sides in the same contract; deteriorating conditions trigger a warning, not another pick. MONITOR YES/NO: an informational underdog alert, not a new trade prediction. REVERSAL WATCH: momentum is improving toward a flip. REVERSAL FORMING: momentum and Kalshi quote movement agree. PAPER REVERSAL: a stricter, unvalidated value screen for backtesting only. An underdog is not automatically a bargain. Market outlook: LEAN YES, LEAN NO, or NEUTRAL from the chart model—even when trading is unattractive. Trade-value screen: PAPER TEST YES/NO, WATCH, WAIT FOR PRICE, or NO ENTRY after estimated fees and uncertainty. The watch price is an experimental model threshold, not a fair-value guarantee. An upper confidence bound is not claimed: forecast ranges are just sensitivity scenarios.